The Underground Edge

The Underground Edge

Find the edge the books miss.

Independent NFL predictions from our own blended model — market consensus across five sportsbooks, adjusted for how teams are actually playing. No hot takes, no hype. Just the numbers, refreshed every Monday during the season.

Updated every Monday

NFL Predictions

Super Bowl LXI odds from the model, our pick for every game of the week, and the injuries that move the lines.

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The numbers behind the picks

NFL Stats

Quarterback efficiency, turnovers, yardage leaders, team stats, and the full AFC/NFC standings.

Dive into the stats →

How the model works

  1. Market consensus: average the implied win probability for each team across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, and FanDuel.
  2. Gameplay adjustment: nudge every team by record, point differential, turnovers, and quarterback health.
  3. Fair odds: convert back to American odds with no vig — so you can see exactly where the books are off.

For information and entertainment — not betting advice.